Kansas vs Oklahoma : The Kansas Jayhawks will look to keep the pressure on in the Big 12 Conference race when they take on the host Oklahoma State Cowboys on Monday in Stillwater, Okla. The Jayhawks are eight-point favorites in the latest Kansas vs. Oklahoma State odds, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 134. Before making any Oklahoma State vs. Kansas picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has crushed its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread the past three years, returning $2,770 to $100 players. It also entered Week 12 of the 2019-20 season on a 6-2 run on top-rated college basketball picks. Anybody who followed it during that span has seen some handsome returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Kansas vs. Oklahoma State. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college basketball lines and trends for Oklahoma State vs. Kansas:
Kansas has dominated non-ranked opponents over the past two seasons, going 32-6, including 14-0 this season. The Jayhawks are coming off a 74-68 win over Tennessee on Saturday in the Big 12/SEC Challenge and have won four straight and seven of eight. With a victory, Kansas can clinch its 37th consecutive winning season, and is looking for its 36th NCAA Tournament appearance in 37 years.
Sophomore guard Devon Dotson has been red hot of late and has scored in double figures in all but one game this season, including a 31-point performance Nov. 27 against Dayton. Dotson has also scored 20 or more points in two of three games and in three of five. He has also been sharing the ball well with a 4.4 assist-per-game average, including seven against Tennessee.
Even so, the Jayhawks aren’t a lock to cover the Kansas vs. Oklahoma State spread. That’s because Oklahoma State has had Kansas’ number in recent meetings at Stillwater, winning four of the past six matchups. The Cowboys are looking for their third winning season in the past four years. They have had 16 winning seasons since 2000-01, and have made 19 NCAA Tournament appearances over the past 30 years.
Senior guard Lindy Waters III leads Oklahoma State in scoring at 12.0 points per game and averages 4.8 rebounds and 2.4 assists. He has scored in double digits in three straight games and in five of seven. His best game was a 29-point performance against Georgetown on Dec. 4. In six career games against Kansas. Waters is averaging 7.8 points, including a 13-point game last season.
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total. In fact, it says Kansas guard Isaiah Moss will play a bigger role and score nearly two points more than his average, while Oklahoma State senior Jonathan Laurent will better his average by more than a point. It has also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get the pick at SportsLine. Despite its 10-1 conference record and solid standing in the national polls, the Kansas men’s basketball team has, at times, left a little to be desired in the rebounding department this season.
“The two best rebounding teams in our league controlled the glass basically all three times that we’ve played them so far,” Kansas coach Bill Self said Friday of his team’s 2-1 record against West Virginia and Baylor this season.The Jayhawks were outrebounded 113-91 in those three meetings, including a 38-27 deficit Wednesday night in Morgantown, W.Va.
Through the first 11 games of Big 12 play, the Jayhawks have outrebounded their opponents by just over four boards per game. When you take the Baylor and WVU games out of the equation, that number jumps to an advantage of nearly nine rebounds per game in KU’s favor.Those numbers, along with the fact that Oklahoma is one of the worst offensive rebounding teams in the country (ranking 319th nationally in offensive rebound percentage per KenPom.com), has this one looking like a game in which the Jayhawks should be able to do some work on the glass.
“It’s a game in which we should be a lot better rebounding the ball than what we showed against Baylor and against West Virginia,” Self said Friday.The Jayhawks did exactly that in the first meeting with OU this season — a 66-52 win in Norman, Okla., on Jan. 14 — dominating the Sooners on the boards to the tune of a 46-32 rebounding edge.
Udoka Azubuike grabbed 14 rebounds in that win — 11 on defense and three offensive boards — and five other Jayhawks had at least four rebounds in the double-digit victory.Coming off one of his best games of the season, senior guard Isaiah Moss enters this one looking to add momentum for a late-season run.
While scoring 13 points, including three key 3-pointers in a road win at West Virginia, Moss delivered the kind of game that seemed different from all of the others. For one, Moss showed more emotion than he had in most games this season. For two, all of his shots were big on a night when the Kansas offense struggled to score from the start.
“I think he’s helped us win some games, but I think deep in his core he knew that he was responsible and played a huge role in us winning that game the other day, in a hard game,” Self said. “It’s one thing to go out and make shots if you win by 20. In a hard game, that you needed every one, I thought he felt really good about himself, which is good to see because he’s (had) a terrific attitude since he’s been here.”
As the team’s top 3-point threat in terms of makes (41-of-108) and second on the team in 3-point percentage, Moss, Self said, has the green light to let it fly at all times when he’s on the floor.
“He has been the whole year,” Self said. “You know, if he’s open, he’s supposed to shoot it. And he’s the one guy that would have it more than anybody else on our team.”
Added Marcus Garrett: “I think he’s started taking advantage of it now. Early on, we had to remind him. I feel like now he kind of knows that every time he touches it we want him to shoot it.”There’s more to Moss being a key part of this team’s rotation than him shooting the ball at a high percentage. Self on Friday mentioned that Moss could become a better post feeder. And his ability and intensity on defense will continue to impact his minutes.
But no matter what he’s doing in the other aspects of the game, if Moss can keep defenses honest by being a consistent 3-point threat, the Jayhawks’ offense is going to be much more dangerous the rest of the way.Self, who spent Thursday in Dallas visiting his newborn granddaughter, Phoebe, said before Friday’s practice that he had not talked to his team about any new lineups. But he also confirmed that he would consider giving Moss a crack at starting again at some point this season.
Although Devon Dotson is currently dealing with a right knee injury that has limited his participation in recent practices but not during games, the Jayhawks should get a huge boost from having their starting point guard and likely all-Big 12 and All-American leader on the floor against the Sooners this time around.In Norman, KU knocked off OU with Dotson in street clothes, nursing a hip pointer that plagued him for a couple of weeks.Garrett handled primary ball handling duties that night and finished with 15 points, five assists and one turnover in 38 minutes.
This time around, Garrett will slide back into his normal role and the Sooners will get their first taste of the sophomore version of Dotson, who leads the Big 12 in scoring (17.9 points per game), ranks sixth in field goal percentage (45.8) and sixth in assists per game (4.3) and second in steals (50).Without Dotson, KU recorded just 12 assists on 25 makes and only four steals in the win over OU in January.After playing 37 minutes against WVU, Dotson said his knee was fine. Self said Friday that he had not heard anything different.
“I think he’s fine,” Self said. “I was very proud of him, and I thought he hung in there. I obviously didn’t play him the whole time — I only played him 37 instead 40 — but I thought that he was good and based on the reports I’ve got, he hasn’t had any setbacks.”
According to Garrett, this week’s review of the game film from KU’s first matchup with Oklahoma this season showed that the KU defense got a little lucky in Norman.OU’s top two scorers, Kristian Doolittle and Brady Manek, combined to shoot just 9-of-34 in that game. And Garrett said the film showed that a lot of those misses were open looks that OU easily could have made.
“We actually didn’t defend them as great as I thought we did,” Garrett admitted. “They missed a lot of shots, so we have to defend way better and take away some of those easy looks.”
While both Garrett and Ochai Agbaji said they believed the KU defense had improved since then, both also said they realized that making life hard on those two would be important in the rematch.“I think Doolittle’s such a key,” Self said. “When he goes well, then they’re awfully hard to defend. … How do you guard him? If you put a big on him, he takes you away. If you put a small guy on he will try to post him. He’s probably about as versatile as anybody that our league has offensively.”
Doolittle enters this one averaging 15 points and nine rebounds per game, while Manek sits at 15.9 points and 6.4 rebounds per game.While KU’s next opponent scored 90 points in its last game and has topped 80 three times so far in Big 12 play, the Jayhawks return home on the heels of holding their last two opponents in the 40s on the road.
“That’s pretty good,” Self said. “I’m not going to give us credit yet that we’re the best defensively that we’ve been, because I think there’s been some teams that are sounder than this one. But I do think, statistically, if you look at it, you would be hard-pressed to say that anybody, up until this stage, has statistically guarded any better than this team has.”
That mindset of defense ruling the day and the rest falling in place around it has led the Jayhawks to nine wins in a row since falling to Baylor at home back in January.Kansas will look to make it 10 in a row against the Sooners before turning around and playing Iowa State again at home on Monday night.
After that, the Jayhawks will get a little time to rest before heading to Waco, Texas, for the rematch with Baylor that could have massive implications in the Big 12 title race.
The Bears enter the weekend with a one-game lead over Kansas in the standings and Texas Tech sits in third place, four games back with seven to play.KU leads the all-time series with Oklahoma 149-68, including a 76-16 record in Lawrence, 49-7 in Allen Fieldhouse. No one on the OU roster, other than head coach Lon Kruger, has ever won in KU’s home gym.